The market moved

-0.9ppin 24h · now 97¢

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 85 and 90?

Other · resolves May 22 · vol $835.52

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 97¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the united states, as reported fo — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported fo — https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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-0.9pp · Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 85 and 90? | Orrery