Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 8¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: US government — https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 8.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.