The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021?
Science · resolves Apr 16 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the resolution source — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the resolution source — https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.