The market moved
+1.5ppin 24h · now 44¢
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 19, 2026?
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 19 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 44¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.