The market moved
+4.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?
Geopolitics · resolves Apr 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.