Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 69¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.0pp shift. Resolution depends on department of defense or otherwise to the united states military by september — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.