Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the general tariff rate on imports into the united states from the people's republic of china on march 31, 2026, 12:0 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on March 31, 2026, 12:0.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.