The market moved

+2.3ppin 24h · now 28¢

Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?

Politics · resolves Mar 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 28¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.3pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+2.3pp · Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? | Orrery