The market moved
+4.5ppin 24h · now 51¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 23?
Other · resolves Jul 23 · vol $77.41
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 51¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.