The market moved
+25.3ppin 24h · now 74¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 13?
Other · resolves Jul 13 · vol $50.60
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 74¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 25.3pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 29.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.