The market moved

+12.5ppin 24h · now 74¢

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 4?

Other · resolves Jun 6 · vol $92.82

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 74¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.