The market moved

+26.0ppin 24h · now 94¢

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 6?

Other · resolves Jun 6 · vol $804.22

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 94¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 26.0pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 23.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.