The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 62¢
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Ceasefire" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Geopolitics · resolves May 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 62¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.