Will the winner of the 2021 FIDE Chess.com Grand Swiss Tournament represent the United States/Russia?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on fide.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: fide.com — https://www.fide.com/docs/regulations/Grand%20Swiss%202021%20-%20List%20of%20players.pdf.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.