The market moved
-38.5ppin 24h · now 11¢
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Eritrea?
Other · resolves Jul 26 · vol $60.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 38.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the listed nationality of the 2026 tour de france champion — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the listed nationality of the 2026 Tour de France champion.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.