The market moved
-9.0ppin 24h · now 16¢
Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $495.47
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.0pp shift. Resolution depends on united nations — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: United Nations.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.