The market moved

+0.6ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?

Politics · resolves Dec 16 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.6pp shift. Resolution depends on the total number of votes in the 2024 presidential election according to uselectionatlas — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the total number of votes in the 2024 Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.