Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 33¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the atlantic from the creation of this market through november 30 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30 — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.