The market moved
+0.1ppin 24h · now 96¢
Will there be 15+ VAR decisions overturned during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · resolves Jul 20 · vol $66.84
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 96¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data — https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.