Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 46¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the atlantic between market creation and november 30, 2026 11:59 p — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 P — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.