Will there be 6+ bonus swing home runs during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 38.3pp shift. Resolution depends on official mlb data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Official MLB data.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.