The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in conterminous U.S. by November 29th?

Weather · resolves Nov 29 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on earthquake.usgs.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: earthquake.usgs.gov — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.