The market moved
-34.7ppin 24h · now 9¢
Will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
Other · resolves Jul 31 · vol $2.7K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 9¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 34.7pp shift. Resolution depends on the cdc surveillance count by july 31, 2026, 11:59 pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the CDC surveillance count by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET — https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.