The market moved
+0.7ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on the cdc case counter by december 31, 2025, 11:59 pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the CDC case counter by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET — https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.