The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will there be between 1800 and 1849 measles cases in the U.S. on December 31?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of confirmed cases of measles (rubeola) in humans in the territory of the united states of america in 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2025 — https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.