The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 57¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Weather · resolves May 17 · vol $3.0K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 57¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6 — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.