The market moved
-16.0ppin 24h · now 37¢
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?
Geopolitics · resolves Jul 31 · vol $757.77
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 37¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.