The market moved

-3.7ppin 24h · now

Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Weather · resolves Dec 1 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.7pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: polymarket.com — https://polymarket.com/event/number-of-named-storms-during-atlantic-hurricane-season.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.