The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now 33¢

Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $60.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 33¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.ohr.int/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.