The market moved

-0.2ppin 24h · now

Will 'Thunderbolts' gross more than $82m on opening weekend?

Sports · resolves May 4 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to how much “thunderbolts” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to how much “Thunderbolts” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend — https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Thunderbolts-(2025)#tab=summary.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.