The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 8¢
Will Tim Cook say "Macbook" 10+ times during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?
Business · resolves Jun 8 · vol $20.59
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 8¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on developer.apple.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: developer.apple.com — https://developer.apple.com/wwdc26/schedule/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 39.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.