Will Tim Walz say "Reelection" during his press conference on January 5?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on mprnews.org — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: mprnews.org — https://www.mprnews.org/story/2026/01/05/minnesota-gov-tim-walz-to-hold-news-conference-as-speculation-about-his-reelection-bid-swirls).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.