The market moved

+65.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "A Complete Unknown"?

Other · resolves Feb 23 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 65.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.sagawards.org/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.