The market moved

+3.5ppin 24h · now 11¢

Will Timothée Chalamet be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?

Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $16.10

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 11¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the individual ranked #1 in google’s official year in search global "actors" list for 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "Actors" list for 2026.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.