Will Toyohito Ikeda win the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial election?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 92¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: nato — https://www.pref.kagawa.lg.jp/senkyoi/index.html).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.