Will 'Transformers One' gross less than $35-42m opening weekend?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to the box office mojo numbers under domestic weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes thursday's preview — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's preview — https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3760947969/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.