The market moved

-3.5ppin 24h · now 79¢

Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Crypto · resolves Jan 1 · vol $42.72

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 79¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.tread.fi/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-3.5pp · Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Orrery