Will Tregenza Roach be the Democratic nominee for Governor of the US Virgin Islands?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 15.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the democratic party to contest the 2026 election for governor of the u — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 election for Governor of the U — https://democrats.org/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.