The market moved

-1.6ppin 24h · now

Will Trent Alexander-Arnold score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Sports · resolves Jul 20 · vol $334.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.6pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.