The market moved

+1.7ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump 10% blanket tariff go into effect by Saturday?

Politics · resolves Apr 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.7pp shift. Resolution depends on major news outlets — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: major news outlets — https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.