The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 11¢

Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?

Politics · resolves Jul 16 · vol $5.3K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 11¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on statements from donald trump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Statements from Donald Trump.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.