The market moved
+1.9ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Geopolitics · resolves May 31 · vol $374.4K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 4¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.9pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: US government.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.