Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the length of the longest filmed handshake between donald trump and jd vance during the day of the 2026 state of the — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and JD Vance during the day of the 2026 State of the .
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.