The market moved

+10.9ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?

Politics · resolves Jan 16 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 10.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the length of the longest filmed handshake between donald trump and maria machado between market creation and january — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Maria Machado between market creation and January.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.