The market moved
-10.5ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jul 31 · vol $4.1K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the length of the longest filmed handshake between donald trump and benjamin netanyahu during the day (et) of their n — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their n.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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