The market moved

+36.3ppin 24h · now 41¢

Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?

Politics · resolves Jul 31 · vol $2.9K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 41¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 36.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the length of the longest filmed handshake between donald trump and benjamin netanyahu during the day (et) of their n — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their n.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.