The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?

Geopolitics · resolves Aug 15 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the length of the longest filmed handshake between donald trump and vladimir putin during the day (akdt) of their nex — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin during the day (AKDT) of their nex.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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