The market moved
+10.9ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump announce tariffs on Japan on April 2?
Politics · resolves Apr 2 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 10.9pp shift. Resolution depends on credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.