Will Trump attend the launch?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.9pp shift. Resolution depends on cnbc — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: cnbc — https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/19/trump-attendings-spacex-launch-elon-musk-starship-.html).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.