The market moved

-0.7ppin 24h · now

Will Trump create External Revenue Service before July?

Politics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on apnews.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: apnews.com — https://apnews.com/article/irs-trump-tax-revenues-tariffs-eef2ab6930a8672a418af27f61efaed8.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.